Tag Archive: Stock-Market

Today’s Dow 10,000 is really 7,537

From Instapundit:

CONSTANT-DOLLAR DOW: Today’s 10,000 is really 7,537. Or, in another metric: “It cost about 30 ounces to buy the 10,000 Dow last time. Now it costs less than 10.”

And here’s an interesting Bloomberg screen cap of the Dow over CPI –

Constant Dollar Dow: Today's 10,000 is really 7,537

(Link du jour Prasenjeet)

The Next Bubble

What do folks think the next big market bubble to burst?

Here are some choices that I’ve heard floating around –

  1. Debt bubble (bonds) — A friend recently commented that at a recent investor meeting, this was raised as the next bubble that could burst. On one hand, some folks think that the fed could do negative interest rates, and on the other, a lot of European investors are supposedly preparing to to short the U.S. government bond market in anticipation of much higher interest rates in the coming months. If you want to see signs that bonds have jumped the shark, look no further than State Street’s new offering, first convertible bond ETF of its kind.
  2. Gold — This has been a long time coming. The sooner the better, I feel. It is a commodity that has been overvalued beyond measure, and the current market isn’t helping. And just have a look at the number of gold ETFs out there.
  3. Sovereign default –To quote PD, while it is unlikely that the Fed, ECB and the BOE will let this happen, we are on the precipitous edge.
  4. Fall of a big bull – Another friend who’s a hedge fund manager quoted that bear market will not end until one of the big bulls of this era gets run over, and until a new bull takes the place. He thinks it could be Warren Buffet.

Personally, I’m more concerned about 1 and 2 (2 is a great shorting opportunity and 1 is a scary thought).  3 is unlikely, and 4 — well, let’s say I’m holding back on 4.

Berkshire Hathaway Portfolio Tracker

I recently discovered CNBC’s Berkshire Hathaway Portfolio Tracker, which keeps track of the publicly traded stocks held by BRK or its subsidiaries.

CNBC's Berkshire Hathaway Portfolio Tracker

Great introduction to technical analysis

I recently stumbled upon a really good introduction to technical analysis by Recognia.

Good material that would be quite useful for someone who is new to technical analysis.

And in the interest of full disclosure, while I’m certainly not associated with them in any way, my broker does provide me access to their technical analysis tools which are rather awesome.

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