Indy Telecom & Industrial Media

The Economist has an excellent article on inflation in emerging economies, and how they may be making the same mistakes that developed economies once did.

For instance, the graph below shows the CPI comparison between today and a year ago, and the difference is simply staggering. This is made made worse by the fact that food is one of the biggest component of the consumer price buckets.

Also interesting is the comparison of GDP vs. interest rates, and the currency supply between developed and emerging economies.

An interesting take away could be that the increasing price of exports from emerging nations could be because of a weakened Dollar, rather than faster inflation. But as someone who has relatives in Asia (who complain a lot about the price increases), I’d like to point out that the current rate of inflation increase in emerging economies (at least in Asia) is among the fastest, historically speaking.

Either way, increased inflation in the developed economies translates to less discretionary spending. Increased inflation in emerging economies usually translates into less food on the table, which is something to think about.

The New York Times has an excellent article on the state of the current US economy.

One of the key points that they bring up is that traditionally, boom and bust cycles result in higher purchasing power and better lifestyle to the people during the boom cycles. Unfortunately, this is not necessarily the case in the US.

For instance, at the end of the 2000 economic expansion, the median American family’s income was $61,000. In 2007, it was $60,500. If anything, the American middle class is not just stagnating — it is recessing, made worse by inflation and high gas prices.

Contrast this between the real median family income that quite literally doubled from the 1940s through the late 1970s. In the three decades since, it has barely risen by 25%.

One of the most critical problems facing our country today is education. The US is lagging far behind compared to the rest of the world, and despite faulty programs like “No Child Left Behind” has one of the lowest graduation rates among developed countries.. Another one is public infrastructure — a lot of money that’s currently spent is on useless pet projects, while the larger infrastructure needs aren’t being met. And of course, there is the issue of health care and the fact that a significant portion of Americans cannot afford to take care of themselves.

Finally, there is the age old issue of tax cuts which are supposedly favorable to the higher-income bracket groups versus the lower-income bracket groups (this is the one point that I disagree on).

But either way, it is a good point, and a very insightful one in a very sad way.

A long, long time ago, BPSK and I had a conversation on the “capitalism” that UK and the US practice.

We made fun of the faux capitalism that’s in reality a Fabian-esque socialism that Britian practices, and how the US would “differentiate” itself by Paulson calling up Pandit to do a save.

Well, turns out that we weren’t too off. Paulson did not call Pandit, but instead called Dimon to do a save. Isn’t it a joy to be in a capitalist economy where the free market decides what needs to be done?

To this end, I recently came across an article that suggested that the Fed is considering Nordic-styled nationalization of US banks to help bail out the economy from its current crisis.

Let’s just say that I am at a loss for words.

Well, it’s Friday and here is the link fest.

• No Country for Old Maids:  Bill Gross’ take on the current economic situation.
• Clinton Fears Japan-Style Malaise: Hillary’s take on how the US may be slipping into a Japanese-style economic malaise (and of course, Dealbreaker has an excellent take on it).
• Long on Asian Dudes:  Hollywood’s stereotypical casting process.

Here are a few assorted interesting links from the past month; ideally, I’d have liked to blog about a few (if not all) of them, but there’s only so much you can do in a week.

• Derivatives: The stupidity of the Indian media on derivatives (Rediff)
• Pop goes the economy: The correlation between economic performance and champagne purchases (The Economist blog)
• Information overload: Why we’re powerless to resist grazing on endless web data (WSJ)
• Old-School Economics: Why the recession was bound to happen anyway (NYT)

Sometimes, BPSK comes up with the most insightful (yet funniest) of statements.

Karthik: Did you hear about Northern Rock?

BPSK: No?

Karthik: Oooh, they are going to nationalize it.

BPSK: Trust the brits to fall back on Fabian socialism. Wonder how deep their new found capitalism really is.

Then he went on to mention something about how Maggie Thatcher, the grocer’s daughter would have told them that grocers don’t lend their own money to their customers etc. And here is the kicker –

BPSK: Of course, in the US they would give them a 0% loan and call it capitalism. Or Paulson would call Pandit and say buy them out.

BPSK: But at least the facade is preserved.

Facade, indeed. But I do not know what is more disturbing — that the world governments aren’t bothering to keep up the facade, or that some aren’t bothering at all.